Alfred State 
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 74.2069
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
221 H Plattsburgh SUNYAC ( 8- 6, 83.5) 7-17
225 H Alfred Empire 8 ( 7- 9, 82.7) 7-25
228 H SUNY Poly NAC ( 6-10, 78.1) 5-19
304 A Potsdam SUNYAC (10- 5, 87.1) 3-20
307 H MCLA NAC ( 5- 6, 73.8) 8- 7
309 A Brevard USA South ( 0-15, 66.6) 28- 8
313 A Oglethorpe SAA ( 2-11, 70.9) 17-11
318 A Keuka Empire 8 ( 5-11, 74.1) 9-10
321 A Morrisville NAC ( 8- 7, 81.5) 6-16
324 H Augustana CCIW ( 3-12, 71.0) 16- 6
328 A Farmingdale State Skyline (12- 4, 85.0) 4-22
329 A Purchase Skyline ( 1-11, 67.9) 13- 6
417 A Hilbert AMCC ( 3- 5, 69.9) 21- 6
422 H Elmira Empire 8 ( 2- 5, 71.4) 13-12
425 A Hanover HCLC North ( 7- 8, 76.2) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 H Plattsburgh 7-17 -10 -9 0.00
225 H Alfred 7-25 -18 -8 0.00
228 H SUNY Poly 5-19 -14 -4 -1.48
304 A Potsdam 3-20 -17 -13 0.00
307 H MCLA 8- 7 1 1 0.19
309 A Brevard 28- 8 20 7 0.00
313 A Oglethorpe 17-11 6 3 + 2.14
318 A Keuka 9-10 -1 0 -0.70
321 A Morrisville 6-16 -10 -8 0.00
324 H Augustana 16- 6 10 4 1.43
328 A Farmingdale State 4-22 -18 -11 0.00
329 A Purchase 13- 6 7 6 0.00
417 A Hilbert 21- 6 15 4 1.14
422 H Elmira 13-12 1 3 - -2.17
425 A Hanover 11-14 -3 -2 -0.65
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 H Elmira 13-12 1 3 - -2.17
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
313 A Oglethorpe 17-11 6 3 + 2.14
|
Alfred State PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adrian |
Adrian |
|
 
| Adrian |
| Albertus Magnus |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Albion |
Albion |
|
 
| Albion |
| Albright |
Albright |
|
 
| Albright |
| Alfred |
Alfred |
Alfred |
 
| |
| Allegheny |
Allegheny |
|
 
| Allegheny |
| Alma |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Alfred State |
| Alvernia |
Alvernia |
|
 
| Alvernia |
| Amherst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Anderson (IN) |
Anderson (IN) |
|
 
| Anderson (IN) |
| Anna Maria |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Arcadia |
Arcadia |
|
 
| Arcadia |
| Augustana |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Aurora |
Aurora |
|
 
| Aurora |
| Averett |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Babson |
Babson |
|
 
| Babson |
| Baldwin Wallace |
Baldwin Wallace |
|
 
| Baldwin Wallace |
| Bates |
Bates |
|
 
| Bates |
| Beloit |
Beloit |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Beloit |
| Benedictine (IL) |
Benedictine (IL) |
|
Benedictine (IL)   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Berry |
Berry |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Berry |
| Bethany |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Alfred State |
| Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
| Brevard |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Bridgewater |
Bridgewater |
|
 
| Bridgewater |
| Brockport |
Brockport |
|
Brockport   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Bryn Athyn |
Bryn Athyn |
|
 
| Bryn Athyn |
| Cairn |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Alfred State |
| Calvin |
Calvin |
|
 
| Calvin |
| Canton |
Canton |
|
tied -  0- 4 |
Canton |
| Capital |
Capital |
|
 
| Capital |
| Carroll |
Carroll |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Carroll |
| Carthage |
Carthage |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Carthage |
| Castleton |
Castleton |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Castleton |
| Catholic |
Catholic |
|
 
| Catholic |
| Centenary (LA) |
Centenary (LA) |
|
Centenary (LA)   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Centenary (NJ) |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Centre |
Centre |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Centre |
| Chatham |
Chatham |
|
 
| Chatham |
| Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
 
| Christopher Newport |
| Clark |
Clark |
|
 
| Clark |
| Clarkson |
Clarkson |
|
Clarkson   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Coast Guard |
Coast Guard |
|
 
| Coast Guard |
| Cobleskill |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Colby |
Colby |
|
 
| Colby |
| Colorado College |
Colorado College |
|
 
| Colorado College |
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
|
 
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
| Connecticut College |
Connecticut College |
|
 
| Connecticut College |
| Cornell College |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Alfred State |
| Cortland |
Cortland |
|
Cortland   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Curry |
Curry |
|
 
| Curry |
| Dean College |
Dean College |
|
 
| Dean College |
| Delaware Valley |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Delhi |
Delhi |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Delhi |
| Denison |
Denison |
|
 
| Denison |
| DePauw |
DePauw |
|
 
| DePauw |
| DeSales |
DeSales |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
DeSales |
| Dickinson |
Dickinson |
|
 
| Dickinson |
| Drew |
Drew |
|
 
| Drew |
| Dubuque |
Dubuque |
|
 
| Dubuque |
| Earlham |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Eastern |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
| Eastern Connecticut |
Eastern Connecticut |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Eastern Connecticut |
| Edgewood |
Edgewood |
|
 
| Edgewood |
| Elizabethtown |
Elizabethtown |
|
 
| Elizabethtown |
| Elmhurst |
Elmhurst |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Elmhurst |
| Elmira |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Emerson |
Emerson |
|
 
| Emerson |
| Emmanuel (MA) |
Emmanuel (MA) |
|
 
| Emmanuel (MA) |
| Endicott |
Endicott |
|
 
| Endicott |
| Farmingdale State |
Farmingdale State |
Farmingdale State |
 
| |
| FDU-Florham |
FDU-Florham |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
FDU-Florham |
| Franciscan |
Franciscan |
|
Franciscan   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Franklin & Marshall |
Franklin & Marshall |
|
 
| Franklin & Marshall |
| Geneseo |
Geneseo |
|
Geneseo   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
|
 
| Gettysburg |
| Gordon |
Gordon |
|
 
| Gordon |
| Goucher |
Goucher |
|
 
| Goucher |
| Greensboro |
Greensboro |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Greensboro |
| Grove City |
Grove City |
|
 
| Grove City |
| Guilford |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Gwynedd Mercy |
Gwynedd Mercy |
|
 
| Gwynedd Mercy |
| Hamilton |
Hamilton |
|
 
| Hamilton |
| Hampden-Sydney |
Hampden-Sydney |
|
 
| Hampden-Sydney |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
Hanover |
 
| |
| Hartford |
Hartford |
|
 
| Hartford |
| Hartwick |
Hartwick |
|
Hartwick   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Haverford |
Haverford |
|
 
| Haverford |
| Heidelberg |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Hendrix |
Hendrix |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Hendrix |
| Hilbert |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Hiram |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Alfred State |
| Hood |
Hood |
|
 
| Hood |
| Hope |
Hope |
|
 
| Hope |
| Huntingdon |
Huntingdon |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Huntingdon |
| Husson |
Husson |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Husson |
| Illinois Tech |
Illinois Tech |
|
 
| Illinois Tech |
| Illinois Wesleyan |
Illinois Wesleyan |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Illinois Wesleyan |
| Immaculata |
Immaculata |
|
 
| Immaculata |
| Ithaca |
Ithaca |
|
 
| Ithaca |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Johnson & Wales |
Johnson & Wales |
|
 
| Johnson & Wales |
| Juniata |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Kalamazoo |
Kalamazoo |
|
 
| Kalamazoo |
| Kean |
Kean |
|
 
| Kean |
| Keene State |
Keene State |
|
 
| Keene State |
| Kenyon |
Kenyon |
|
 
| Kenyon |
| Keuka |
Keuka |
Keuka |
 
| |
| Kings |
Kings |
|
 
| Kings |
| La Roche |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| LaGrange |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
| Lasell |
Lasell |
|
 
| Lasell |
| Lawrence |
Lawrence |
|
 
| Lawrence |
| Lebanon Valley |
Lebanon Valley |
|
 
| Lebanon Valley |
| Lycoming |
Lycoming |
|
Lycoming   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Maine Maritime |
Maine Maritime |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Maine Maritime |
| Manhattanville |
Manhattanville |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Manhattanville |
| Marian (WI) |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Marietta |
Marietta |
|
 
| Marietta |
| Maritime |
Maritime |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Maritime |
| Mary Washington |
Mary Washington |
|
 
| Mary Washington |
| Marymount |
Marymount |
|
 
| Marymount |
| Marywood |
Marywood |
|
 
| Marywood |
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Massachusetts Maritime |
|
 
| Massachusetts Maritime |
| Massachusetts-Boston |
Massachusetts-Boston |
|
 
| Massachusetts-Boston |
| McDaniel |
McDaniel |
|
 
| McDaniel |
| MCLA |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Merchant Marine |
Merchant Marine |
|
Merchant Marine   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Messiah |
Messiah |
|
 
| Messiah |
| Methodist |
Methodist |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Methodist |
| Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
| Misericordia |
Misericordia |
|
 
| Misericordia |
| MIT |
MIT |
|
 
| MIT |
| Mitchell |
Alfred State |
|
 
| Alfred State |
| Montclair State |
Montclair State |
|
 
| Montclair State |
| Moravian |
Moravian |
|
 
| Moravian |
| Morrisville |
Morrisville |
Morrisville |
 
| |
| Mount St Mary (NY) |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Alfred State |
| Mount St Vincent |
Mount St Vincent |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Mount St Vincent |
| Mount Union |
Mount Union |
|
Mount Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| MSOE |
MSOE |
|
 
| MSOE |
| Muhlenberg |
Muhlenberg |
|
 
| Muhlenberg |
| Muskingum |
Muskingum |
|
 
| Muskingum |
| Nazareth |
Nazareth |
|
Nazareth   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Neumann |
Neumann |
|
 
| Neumann |
| New England College |
New England College |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
New England College |
| New Paltz |
New Paltz |
|
tied -  0- 3 |
New Paltz |
| Nichols |
Nichols |
|
Nichols   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| North Central |
North Central |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
North Central |
| Northland |
Northland |
|
 
| Northland |
| Norwich |
Norwich |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Norwich |
| Oberlin |
Oberlin |
|
 
| Oberlin |
| Oglethorpe |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Ohio Northern |
Ohio Northern |
|
 
| Ohio Northern |
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Ohio Wesleyan |
|
 
| Ohio Wesleyan |
| Oneonta |
Oneonta |
|
Oneonta   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Oswego |
Oswego |
|
Oswego   4- 2 vs 0- 6 |
|
| Otterbein |
Otterbein |
|
 
| Otterbein |
| Penn College |
Penn College |
|
Penn College   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Pfeiffer |
Pfeiffer |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Pfeiffer |
| Piedmont |
Piedmont |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Piedmont |
| Pitt-Bradford |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  3- 1 |
Alfred State |
| Plattsburgh |
Plattsburgh |
Plattsburgh |
 
| |
| Plymouth State |
Plymouth State |
|
 
| Plymouth State |
| Potsdam |
Potsdam |
Potsdam |
 
| |
| Purchase |
Alfred State |
Alfred State |
 
| |
| Randolph |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Alfred State |
| Randolph-Macon |
Randolph-Macon |
|
 
| Randolph-Macon |
| Regis (MA) |
Regis (MA) |
|
 
| Regis (MA) |
| Rhodes |
Rhodes |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rhodes |
| RIT |
RIT |
|
 
| RIT |
| Rivier |
Rivier |
|
 
| Rivier |
| Roanoke |
Roanoke |
|
 
| Roanoke |
| Roger Williams |
Roger Williams |
|
 
| Roger Williams |
| Rosemont |
Rosemont |
|
 
| Rosemont |
| RPI |
RPI |
|
 
| RPI |
| Sage |
Sage |
|
Sage   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Salem State |
Salem State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Salem State |
| Salisbury |
Salisbury |
|
 
| Salisbury |
| Salve Regina |
Salve Regina |
|
 
| Salve Regina |
| Scranton |
Scranton |
|
 
| Scranton |
| Sewanee |
Sewanee |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Sewanee |
| Shenandoah |
Shenandoah |
|
 
| Shenandoah |
| Skidmore |
Skidmore |
|
 
| Skidmore |
| Southern Maine |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Southern Virginia |
Southern Virginia |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Southern Virginia |
| Southwestern |
Southwestern |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Southwestern |
| Spalding |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Springfield |
Springfield |
|
 
| Springfield |
| St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
|
St John Fisher   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| St Joseph (CT) |
St Joseph (CT) |
|
 
| St Joseph (CT) |
| St Josephs (LI) |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| St Josephs (ME) |
St Josephs (ME) |
|
 
| St Josephs (ME) |
| St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
|
St Lawrence   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| St Marys (MD) |
St Marys (MD) |
|
 
| St Marys (MD) |
| St Vincent |
St Vincent |
|
 
| St Vincent |
| Stevens |
Stevens |
|
 
| Stevens |
| Stevenson |
Stevenson |
|
 
| Stevenson |
| Stockton |
Stockton |
|
 
| Stockton |
| SUNY Poly |
SUNY Poly |
SUNY Poly |
 
| |
| Susquehanna |
Susquehanna |
|
 
| Susquehanna |
| Swarthmore |
Swarthmore |
|
 
| Swarthmore |
| Thiel |
Alfred State |
|
Alfred State   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Thomas |
Thomas |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Thomas |
| Transylvania |
Transylvania |
|
Transylvania   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Trine |
Trine |
|
Trine   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Trinity |
Trinity |
|
 
| Trinity |
| Tufts |
Tufts |
|
 
| Tufts |
| U of New England |
U of New England |
|
 
| U of New England |
| Union |
Union |
|
 
| Union |
| Ursinus |
Ursinus |
|
 
| Ursinus |
| Utica |
Utica |
|
Utica   4- 3 vs 0- 7 |
|
| Vassar |
Vassar |
|
 
| Vassar |
| Virginia Wesleyan |
Virginia Wesleyan |
|
 
| Virginia Wesleyan |
| Wabash |
Wabash |
|
Wabash   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Warren Wilson |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Alfred State |
| Washington & Jefferson |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Alfred State |
| Washington & Lee |
Washington & Lee |
|
 
| Washington & Lee |
| Washington College |
Washington College |
|
 
| Washington College |
| Wentworth |
Wentworth |
|
 
| Wentworth |
| Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
 
| Wesleyan |
| Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
|
Western Connecticut   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Western New England |
Western New England |
|
 
| Western New England |
| Westminster (PA) |
Westminster (PA) |
|
 
| Westminster (PA) |
| Wheaton |
Wheaton |
|
 
| Wheaton |
| Widener |
Widener |
|
 
| Widener |
| Wilkes |
Wilkes |
|
 
| Wilkes |
| William Peace |
Alfred State |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Alfred State |
| Williams |
Williams |
|
 
| Williams |
| Wilmington (OH) |
Wilmington (OH) |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Wilmington (OH) |
| Wittenberg |
Wittenberg |
|
 
| Wittenberg |
| Wooster |
Wooster |
|
 
| Wooster |
| York |
York |
|
 
| York |
PairWisePlus = 36

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Plattsburgh ( 8- 6, 83.5) 7-17 -16.42 23.46 -0.40 1.07 -17.95
0 H Alfred ( 7- 9, 82.7) 7-25 -17.15 22.72 -0.40 1.07 -18.74
0 H SUNY Poly ( 6-10, 78.1) 5-19 -21.77 18.10 -0.40 1.07 -23.66
0 A Potsdam (10- 5, 87.1) 3-20 -12.80 27.07 0.40 1.07 -13.23
0 H MCLA ( 5- 6, 73.8) 8- 7 -26.10 13.78 -0.40 1.07 14.27
0 A Brevard ( 0-15, 66.6) 28- 8 -33.32 6.56 0.40 1.07 7.43
0 A Oglethorpe ( 2-11, 70.9) 17-11 -28.96 10.91 0.40 1.07 12.08
0 A Keuka ( 5-11, 74.1) 9-10 -25.79 14.08 0.40 1.07 -27.10
0 A Morrisville ( 8- 7, 81.5) 6-16 -18.35 21.52 0.40 1.07 -19.16
0 H Augustana ( 3-12, 71.0) 16- 6 -28.85 11.02 -0.40 1.07 11.33
0 A Farmingdale St (12- 4, 85.0) 4-22 -14.89 24.99 0.40 1.07 -15.45
0 A Purchase ( 1-11, 67.9) 13- 6 -32.03 7.84 0.40 1.07 8.80
0 A Hilbert ( 3- 5, 69.9) 21- 6 -29.96 9.91 0.40 1.07 11.01
0 H Elmira ( 2- 5, 71.4) 13-12 -28.46 11.42 -0.40 1.07 11.75
0 A Hanover ( 7- 8, 76.2) 11-14 -23.74 16.13 0.40 1.07 -24.91
------
-83.53
|
winning pts = 76.6663 losing points = -160.1987
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------